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Financing the Transition: Mechanisms to Scale Clean Energy Transitioning Emerging Markets

Updated: Nov 17

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How can emerging markets (EMs) attract the investments needed to transition and sustain their clean energy projects?


In recent decades, emerging economies have set ambitious net-zero goals whilst grappling

with limited fiscal space and rising energy demand. Despite growing interest in green

finance, most clean energy investments still flow towards advanced economies. This leaves

developing nations struggling to fund their own transitions. This poses the question, how

can emerging markets (EMs) attract the investments needed to transition and sustain their

clean energy projects?


EMs will determine the success of global clean energy transitions. By 2050, EMs will drive

nearly three-quarters of global energy consumption, yet receive less than one-fifth of total

clean energy investment. In 2025, global clean energy investment reached a record US$2.2

trillion; however, the majority of this investment was directed towards developed

economies. This raises a significant question: How can regions most vital to

decarbonisation remain the least financed?

This paradox is not due to a shortage of capital, but a failure to channel it to where it is most

needed. High borrowing costs, currency volatility, and perceived government instability

make renewable projects (e.g., in many African EMs) at least two to three times more

expensive than in advanced economies.


Over the past decade, development banks, multilateral funds and governments have

experimented with new ways to attract private capital into green projects through the use of

blended finance, which shares risk between public and private investors, and green and

sustainability-linked bonds (SLBs) that tie returns to climate outcomes. These mechanisms

have already mobilised billions but lack the scale and impact to close the gap.


The challenge, therefore, is about redesigning mechanisms that make clean energy

investments in emerging markets more scalable and accessible.


Sharing Risk


One way of reallocating more capital towards EMs is by sharing risk to attract private capital. This can be achieved through blended finance, where concessional capital from public, philanthropic or development sources mobilises commercial investments into projects otherwise deemed too risky. By altering the risk-return profile using blended finance, it reallocates risk across different investor classes through structured layering. Typically, first-loss tranches absorb early project losses first, protecting senior lenders' risk and limiting their exposure.


Public or development partners can further enhance creditworthiness through risk-mitigation instruments such as guarantees, interest rate buy-downs, and technical assistance. Together, these create a de-risked capital stack that gives private investors the confidence to enter markets they would otherwise avoid.


A noteworthy example is the Indonesia Just Energy Transition Partnership, which combines

grants, concessional loans and private finance to gather approximately US$20 billion for

phasing down coal and expanding renewables. According to the World Bank, blended finance portfolios in EMs have grown rapidly in recent years, with Southeast Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa spearheading.


By absorbing early losses and providing long-term capital (typically 10-15 years) at a below

market rate, blended finance advances public policy goals while generating risk-adjusted

returns. It improves credit histories, enhances operational performance and over time

transforms high-risk markets into bankable assets, integrating clean energy infrastructure into mainstream investment portfolios.


However, challenges persist. Concessional or philanthropic capital remains scarce, and higher global interest rates raise funding costs. Additionally, blended finance often favors larger projects, overlooking smaller energy initiatives with strong social and environmental

benefits. It is therefore a transitional catalyst to crowd in private capital and demonstrate

commercial viability, rather than a tool to reform domestic financial markets or manage

policy and currency risks.


Tying Finance to Climate Goals


Another way for EMs to make clean energy investments more attractive and scalable is by

developing financial instruments that link climate performance to economic returns. Green

and SLBs convert environmental outcomes into investable, risk-adjusted products.

Enabling investors to invest large amounts of ESG capital in emerging economies.


These enhance market confidence and transparency by establishing verifiable connections

between environmental outcomes and financial performance. In traditional bond markets, investors often face informational asymmetry – they are uncertain about their money’s use

and the reliability of the issuer's claims. Green bonds address this issue by earmarking these

proceeds exclusively for certified low-carbon projects, requiring external audits to verify

expenditure. This builds credibility and reassures investors that their capital supports energy transition rather than general spending.


SLBs further this by embedding measurable climate targets directly into financing contracts. This affects coupon rates – the interest paid to investors rises if the issuer fails to meet its sustainability targets and falls if goals are achieved. This introduces price mechanisms, which make environmental performance financially meaningful. Therefore, meeting emissions and renewable energy goals is key to reducing borrowing costs, incentivising governments and companies to achieve their objectives and offering investors accountability and a form of downside protection.


However, one limitation of Green and SLB is the absence of universal taxonomies and

verification standards across markets limits comparability and facilitates greenwashing.

Smaller EM issuers also face an added administrative burden, and performance metrics

often rely on self-reported or unaudited data.


Securing confidence through credit guarantees and insurance


A third mechanism for unlocking clean energy investment in EMs is the use of credit

guarantees and political risk insurance. These mechanisms protect investors from loan

defaults, currency shocks, or policy reversals that could undermine investor confidence.

They underwrite confidence by assuring lenders that even if the borrower defaults, or the

regulatory environment shifts, their investments will be partially covered – reducing investor exposure.


Institutions such as MIGA and the African Trade Insurance Agency utilise these instruments

to mitigate investor risk through partial credit guarantees, political risk insurance and

currency conversion protection. Through these, MIGA's renewable energy portfolio in

Sub-Saharan Africa reaches US$2.5 billion in guarantees, helping projects secure long-term

funding.


However, these mechanisms heavily rely on counterparties, require extensive due diligence,

and often prioritise large-scale developers, thereby leaving smaller developers without

access. Still, these remain essential tools for making emerging markets investable —

particularly when paired with blended finance and green-bond initiatives.


Policy Recommendations


  1. Policymakers should strengthen domestic financial ecosystems by enhancing

    regulatory frameworks, mitigating currency volatility, and fostering the development

    of domestic capital markets.

  2. Development finance institutions and multilateral banks should expand their use of

    catalytic capital and risk mitigation instruments, such as loss tranches, concessional

    lending, and guarantees, to support sustainable development.

  3. Investors and corporations should improve transparency and disclosures for Green

    bonds and SLBs. By adopting consistent verification and establishing reporting

    standards, it enhances credibility, reduces greenwashing and narrows yield spreads –

    enabling cheaper large-scale financing


Conclusion


The future of the clean energy transition will be dependent on financial innovation that

bridges risk and opportunity. EMs have unlimited potential but are hindered by the highest

barriers. Mechanisms such as blended finance, Green and SLBs and credit guarantees can be used to transform climate ambition into an investable reality. These tools will scale

investments if concessional capital is expanded, standards are followed, and domestic

financial capital markets are strengthened.


Bibliography

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African Trade Insurance Agency (ATI). Political Risk Insurance and Credit Guarantee Instruments. ATI, 2024, https://www.ati-aca.org.


BloombergNEF. Energy Transition Investment Trends 2024. BloombergNEF, 2024,

https://about.bnef.com/energy-transition-investment/.


Climate Bonds Initiative. Global State of the Market 2024: Green, Social, Sustainability & Sustainability-Linked Bonds. Climate Bonds Initiative, 2024,

https://www.climatebonds.net/resources/reports.


Convergence. The State of Blended Finance 2023. Convergence, 2023,

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